XRP Price Prediction: Bull Flag Pattern Hints at $18 Breakout as XRP Market Cap Eyes $1.5 Trillion

Despite recent market headwinds, optimism is mounting around XRP price predictions, fueled by technical signals and historic market cap patterns. At the heart of the discussion is a bullish formation that some analysts believe could push XRP toward the $18 mark—possibly even higher.

Bull Flag Formation Sets the Stage

According to crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, XRP’s current chart structure is forming what’s known as a bull flag—a technical pattern that typically follows a sharp price increase and suggests a continuation of the uptrend after a brief consolidation. This pattern often signals that buyers may soon regain momentum.

“We’re seeing consolidation within a parallel range—a textbook flag structure,” EGRAG explained in a recent post on X.

The analyst prefers using an average of Logarithmic and Linear approaches for XRP price targets, with the Log method projecting a potential high of around $18. Source: EGRAG CRYPTO via X

The bull flag scenario comes despite XRP’s recent pullback. After peaking at $2.63 in mid-May, XRP dropped over 13%, now trading around $2.30. Still, technical analysts remain unfazed, with EGRAG presenting three separate projections based on varying chart methodologies.

Three Price Scenarios: $5.50 to $18 and Beyond

EGRAG outlined three distinct targets for XRP price based on different technical approaches:

Linear Scale Projection – Places XRP around $5.50. Logarithmic Scale Projection – Suggests a more aggressive target of $18. Midpoint Estimate – Averaging the two, XRP could settle near $11.75.

Acknowledging the unpredictable nature of crypto markets, EGRAG also provided adjusted ranges that account for 15% to 20% variability. These raise potential price peaks as high as $21.60 under bullish extensions.

The analyst projects XRP price targets of approximately $5.50 using a linear scale, $18 with a logarithmic approach, and a preferred average target of around $11.75. Source: EGRAG CRYPTO via X

While these predictions offer upside potential, analysts caution that confirmation is key. A strong breakout from the current consolidation range, accompanied by high trading volume, would validate the bullish case. Otherwise, XRP may continue to hover near its 50-day EMA, which currently acts as a fragile support around $2.30.

Market Cap Analysis Points to $1.5 Trillion Milestone

Beyond chart patterns, EGRAG’s analysis also draws attention to XRP’s market cap trajectory. He identified a rare “W” pattern in XRP’s two-month market cap chart—a formation often interpreted as a bullish reversal indicator.

The analyst projects XRP’s market cap at $270B using a linear scale and up to $1.5T with a logarithmic approach. Source: EGRAG CRYPTO via X

This double-bottom structure began in 2018, bottomed in 2020 and 2022, and surged again in early 2025. Now, with the pattern fully formed, the final step is a breakout above its neckline. If that occurs, EGRAG believes the market cap could soar to $1.5 trillion, a target derived from Fibonacci extensions and historical cycle extrapolations.

The analyst anticipates XRP could see a 242% to 600% surge based on past cycle moves from Fib 1.0 to 1.618. Source: EGRAG CRYPTO via X

If XRP achieves that market cap, based on its current circulating supply of approximately 58.68 billion tokens, the token could reach a price of $25.56. More conservative projections suggest prices of $4.60, $7.66, or $16.65 at market caps of $270 billion, $450 billion, and $978 billion, respectively.

Mixed Technical Signals Demand Caution

While the bullish outlook is promising, not all indicators point upward. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 48—below the neutral 50 mark—implying weakening momentum. Additionally, the MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, hinting at a possible near-term downturn.

XRP was trading at around $2.30, down 0.68% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

Should XRP price fall below the crucial support at $2.23, the next support zone is expected around $1.96. On the flip side, if the 50-day EMA holds and buyer interest returns, XRP could retest resistance near $2.72.

This tug-of-war between bullish patterns and bearish momentum reflects broader uncertainty, including the ongoing impact of the XRP lawsuit involving the SEC and Ripple. Although recent Ripple news has seen some regulatory clarity, lingering legal hurdles continue to affect investor sentiment.

Community Sentiment and Market Context

The Ripple XRP news community remains cautiously optimistic. EGRAG encouraged supporters to stay patient, emphasizing the importance of confirmation before acting. Meanwhile, analysts like Benjamin Cowen have warned that many altcoins—including XRP—still lag behind Bitcoin in comparative strength.

Market watchers are also keeping an eye on macro trends, such as the role of Ripple crypto partnerships, especially rumors around Ripple Bank of America collaborations, which could influence adoption and Ripple market exposure.

In recent Ripple lawsuit updates, some legal experts suggest that further clarity on XRP’s regulatory status could unlock institutional demand. The long-running XRP SEC lawsuits remain a critical overhang, but favorable rulings may act as catalysts in the near future.

Final Thoughts: XRP Holds Promise, But Confirmation is Key

XRP is at a technical and psychological crossroads. On one hand, the bull flag and W-pattern formations support the case for a powerful breakout—potentially taking XRP value into double-digit territory. On the other hand, weak momentum indicators and legal uncertainties continue to cloud short-term direction.

For now, traders and investors are advised to monitor the $2.23 support level and watch for a clean breakout above the flag resistance. If confirmed, XRP could be on its way to retesting historic highs and potentially ushering in a new era for the Ripple ledger.

As always, the crypto space demands caution. Even as bullish scenarios unfold, it’s wise to manage risk, stay informed with the latest XRP news, and avoid trading on speculation alone.