XRP Price Analysis: $1.35 Faces a Binance Inflow Spike

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Rommie Analytics

Key Takeaways

$1.35 drew an initial buyer response. Binance received 91.2M XRP in one day. $1.30 is the clearer structural floor. $1.40 and $1.45 cap recovery attempts. Exchange inflows are not confirmed sales.

XRP remains inside a falling daily range

XRP trades near $1.36 at the time of writing, according to TradingView’s XRP/USD daily chart, after falling from a late-August high near $1.70. XRP has recovered modestly from its latest low, but remains below a descending trendline and the first Fibonacci retracement near $1.40.

TradingView daily price chart for XRP (XRP/USD) on Coinbase as of September 12, 2026, displaying price action at $1.3644 with Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, and RSI.

That puts $1.35 in the role of an immediate reaction area. Analyst Ali Charts, citing Glassnode data, identified a sizeable XRP cost-basis cluster around the same level. Such clusters can attract buyer interest, but they become meaningful support only if price holds through later tests.

XRP AT KEY SUPPORT. TIME TO WATCH.

1/5 🧵👇

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) September 12, 2026

The RSI near 54 remains above its neutral midpoint, although it sits below its moving average near 59. Momentum has cooled from the earlier rally, but the indicator does not yet show renewed upside momentum.

The moving averages show why the current range remains the immediate issue. XRP is still above its 200-day average near $1.27, while the 50-day and 100-day averages sit lower, near $1.22 and $1.17. Those levels could become later references if the pullback deepens, but they are too far below the current price to settle the present battle around $1.30.

Binance received 91.2M XRP near the lower end of the range

The latest CryptoQuant Binance exchange-inflow chart shows about 91.2 million XRP arriving at the venue on September 11, the largest reading in the displayed month. Most earlier daily bars were far smaller, making the deposit notable while XRP trades close to a key range floor.

CryptoQuant chart displaying XRP Ledger exchange inflows to Binance alongside USD price movements through August and September 2026.

An exchange inflow is XRP transferred into an exchange wallet. Traders often treat large inflows as a potential supply warning because tokens already held on an exchange can be sold more easily than tokens kept in private wallets. Still, the transfer alone does not reveal the owner’s intention: it could be linked to a sale, market-making activity or an internal wallet movement rather than an immediate spot transaction.

The next inflows and price response matter more

The 91.2 million XRP deposit is therefore a risk factor, not proof of sustained selling pressure. Its importance would increase if similar transfers continue while XRP closes below $1.30, particularly if exchange-held balances also rise. If deposits fade and price holds the range, the market may have absorbed the available liquidity without a broader supply imbalance.

The chart has three decision levels

Price map for the next daily closes
$1.30: structural floor
The base of the current range. A daily close below it would weaken the stabilisation attempt and expose the 200-day average near $1.27.
$1.40: first recovery test
This area combines the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement with nearby descending-trend resistance. A daily close above it would improve the short-term structure.
$1.45: second recovery test
The 38.2% retracement. Reclaiming it on daily closes would put $1.50 and then $1.55 back into view.

$1.35 has prompted a response; $1.30 is the range level that needs to hold for that response to matter. A close below it would not settle XRP’s longer-term trend, but it would make the current recovery attempt less convincing.

A recovery toward $1.60 still has two hurdles

Ali Charts suggested that a defended $1.35 area and a reclaim of $1.38 could open a recovery toward $1.60 and potentially $1.68. That remains a conditional scenario, not a conclusion from the current chart.

XRP would first need to regain $1.40 and then $1.45 on daily closes. A reclaim of $1.45 would shift attention from defending support to testing $1.50-$1.55, followed by the Fibonacci level near $1.61.

Price absorption will show whether the deposit matters

XRP is testing a sensitive part of its range at the same time as a substantial amount of the token has reached Binance. If price remains resilient while subsequent inflows fade, the market may have absorbed the potential supply. If support fails alongside continued deposits, the onchain warning will carry more weight. The current data does not yet settle which outcome is developing.


This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.

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