PPI Falls 0.5%—Lowest Since 2020: A Green Light for Fed Cuts and Crypto?

This marks the lowest reading since April 2020, and comes on the heels of a softer-than-expected Core CPI of 2.4%, both suggesting inflation is easing more than anticipated.

This dual signal—cooling CPI and plunging PPI—could be just what the Federal Reserve needs to justify its first rate cut in 2025. While the Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, these inflation figures may shift policy expectations as early as the summer.

Why It Matters for Crypto

Lower inflation and the possibility of rate cuts typically translate into a more favorable macro environment for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Rate cuts weaken the U.S. dollar and increase liquidity—two key catalysts that historically support crypto rallies. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins could benefit as investor appetite for higher-yielding, volatile assets rises.

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Crypto markets have already shown a positive correlation to macro easing signals this year. If rate cuts do materialize, it could reinforce the ongoing rally, increase capital inflows, and boost sentiment further—especially in altcoins and DeFi, which are more sensitive to risk-on conditions.

The PPI surprise strengthens the case for a Fed pivot, and with crypto poised on key breakout levels, the coming months could usher in a fresh leg up across digital assets.

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