Here is Why Bitcoin Could Surprise Investors This Month

Several macro and market-specific signals suggest momentum may be building, rather than fading.

Analysts have pointed to the growing connection between Bitcoin’s price and global money supply metrics like M2. Historically, when central banks increase liquidity—through rate cuts or asset purchases—Bitcoin tends to rise. With expansionary policies taking hold in major economies, this trend may be repeating. Data from Kaduna shows that Bitcoin price action often trails M2 movements by roughly 90 days, indicating potential upside in the coming weeks.

Past performance also adds weight to this outlook. Over the last 12 years, Bitcoin has delivered average gains of nearly 8% in May, outperforming several other months. While crypto remains unpredictable, May has statistically leaned more bullish than bearish.

At the same time, institutional flows are gaining strength. Recent ETF data shows continued interest from investors, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust leading the pack in net inflows. On a single day, the fund saw nearly $1 billion enter, pushing its total past $42 billion. This surge in demand suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, which could fuel further price appreciation.

Adding to the case, Bitcoin is increasingly moving independently from equities. Analysts have noted its divergence from major indexes like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, interpreting it as a sign that crypto is no longer just a proxy for risk assets, but a maturing store of value with its own momentum.

While economic updates—such as interest rate changes or inflation data—could create some turbulence, the combination of rising liquidity, institutional adoption, and relative strength positions Bitcoin for a potentially strong performance in the weeks ahead.

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