The brief’s key findings are:
The employment rate for workers ages 51-64 with a disability is significantly above the pre-COVID level. Nearly all of the employment gain was in teleworkable jobs, even after accounting for other factors that might affect work activity. The availability of teleworkable jobs encouraged some to reenter the labor force and others to switch to remote jobs instead of exiting the labor force. Whether these effects will persist remains unclear, as remote work options could decline as the labor market returns to more normal conditions.Introduction
One aspect of the pandemic that has persisted is the increased relevance of remote work. This shift could help older people with disabilities, who might otherwise find it hard to get or keep jobs. Indeed, this group has a higher employment rate post-pandemic than pre-pandemic.
Remote work, though, might not be the only factor contributing to this trend. First, more people report having a work-limiting impairment than before the pandemic. If these new health conditions are relatively mild, then the rising prevalence of disability, by itself, could lead to a higher employment rate among this group. Second, the labor market has been extremely tight in recent years, which could also help boost employment rates among those with disabilities.
This brief, based on a new study, examines the extent to which remote work has contributed to the rising employment rate of older individuals with disabilities and which types of these workers – based on their recent work history – have benefited the most.1 The discussion proceeds as follows. The first section provides background on the rise of remote work, employment trends for older people with disabilities, and the two other factors that could be playing a role: the rising prevalence of disability and the tight labor market. The second section introduces the data and methodology for the analysis. The third section presents the results. The final section concludes that remote work has increased employment among older workers with disabilities by encouraging some to reenter the labor force and others to switch to remote work instead of exiting the labor force.
Background
A striking feature of the pandemic was the sudden shift towards remote work, and remote work remains a fixture in the labor market (see Figure 1). For workers with disabilities, remote work lowers the fixed cost of having a job by reducing commuting expenses, providing greater flexibility, and potentially allowing them to access the national labor market.2 For employers, remote jobs can reduce the costs of hiring because required accommodations are already available in the worker’s home.3
The notion that remote work may be helping older workers with disabilities stay in the labor force is supported by recent employment trends. Figure 2 shows that the employment rate for this group rebounded rapidly after the pandemic, even rising above pre-pandemic levels beginning in late 2021.4
Two other post-pandemic trends, however, could also be influencing employment. First, a higher share of the working-age population now reports having a disability (see Figure 3). Much of this increase can be attributed to a rise in self-reported cognitive impairments. Prior studies suggest that these new impairments might be cases of “brain fog,” a condition related to long COVID.5 If long COVID is the reason, it could result in a shift in the composition of people with disabilities to those with higher work capacity and greater attachment to the labor force.6 Yet, as shown in Figure 3, this argument is less relevant for older workers, since the rise in disability is concentrated among younger workers (ages 18-50).
A second, more convincing, factor is the unusual tightness of the labor market in recent years, with the number of job openings rapidly outpacing the number of unemployed job seekers (see Figure 4). As a result, more – and higher-paying – job opportunities have emerged for workers who traditionally face barriers in the labor market.7 In the case of workers with disabilities, employers may be more willing to offer accommodations such as more flexible hours and more frequent breaks.
While labor market tightness appears more likely to affect employment rates among older workers with disabilities than the rising share of adults reporting a disability, the analysis will consider both factors just in case.
Data and Methodology
The analysis is based on the 2012-2022 Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a biennial longitudinal survey of older households with rich information on workers’ health and employment. We focus on individuals ages 51-64 who report a work-limiting health condition and do not consider themselves fully retired.8
The analysis then proceeds in three stages. The first stage simply documents how the rising employment rate for older workers with disabilities breaks down by whether their occupation is amenable to remote work.9 If remote work has had an impact, then we would expect the increase in the employment-to-population ratio of people in teleworkable jobs to be much larger than the increase for those whose jobs are not amenable to remote work.
This simple comparison, however, does not consider the potential effects of other post-pandemic changes. Hence, the second stage estimates the likelihood of older people with disabilities being employed in teleworkable and non-teleworkable occupations, controlling for worker health and the tight labor market, in addition to basic demographics, using the following equation:10
Employment in teleworkable (nonteleworkable) jobs = f(health, labor market tightness, demographics, year 2022)
The year 2022 variable captures the change in teleworkable (non-teleworkable) employment in 2022 compared to 2018 – the omitted reference year. If remote work has an important effect on the employment rate – after accounting for worker health and labor market tightness – then the coefficient on year 2022 should be much larger in the regression for teleworkable jobs than in the non-teleworkable regression.
The final stage of the analysis explores more specifically how remote work helps older workers with disabilities stay in the labor force based on their recent work history, including their experience with teleworkable jobs. Specifically, it asks two questions: 1) did remote work convince those on the sidelines to reenter work, or did it help those who were already working to delay exiting the labor force? and 2) was the impact limited to those who had prior experience with remote work, or did all workers benefit? To answer these questions, the regression analysis outlined above is repeated for subgroups of older people with disabilities based on whether they have worked in the past four years and whether they have had prior experience in a teleworkable job.11
Results
This section starts by examining how remote work improved overall employment for older people with disabilities and then identifies which types of these workers saw the greatest gains.
How Did Remote Work Affect Older People with Disabilities?
To start off, the analysis simply breaks down the increase in the employment rate by whether the worker’s occupation is teleworkable, without controlling for disability severity or labor market tightness. Consistent with the CPS data in Figure 2, the rising employment in teleworkable occupations led to an 11.6-percent increase in the employment-to-population ratio of older people with disabilities between 2018 and 2022, while non-teleworkable employment was virtually unchanged (see gray bars in Figure 5).12
Shifting away from the raw comparisons, the regression results show that remote work remains extremely important even after controlling for disability severity and labor market tightness (see top red bar in Figure 5).13 Indeed, the point estimates barely change from the basic comparison, suggesting that the two potentially confounding factors have played a less important role in increasing employment for older people with disabilities.14
Who Benefited the Most from Remote Work?
Given that remote work has helped boost employment outcomes for older workers with disabilities, the next question is whether some of them benefited more than others. Figure 6 compares the percentage change in the employment rate for teleworkable occupations across four different groups of older workers with disabilities. These groups are determined based on two aspects of their recent work history. The first aspect is whether or not they were employed in the last four years, while the second is whether or not they had prior experience in teleworkable jobs.
To understand the story, take each result in turn. The first group – those who have not worked in the past four years and have no experience in teleworkable jobs – saw no improvement: they stayed out of work. In contrast, the second group – who do have experience in teleworkable jobs – saw a large increase in employment, indicating that they were better prepared to reenter work as remote jobs surged. The third group is perhaps most interesting. Workers in this group have been employed recently and, despite their lack of familiarity with telework, were able to move into these jobs rather than exiting the labor force because of their disability. Finally, the fourth group – recently working in teleworkable jobs – saw less benefit from the shift to remote work, perhaps because they had already received employer accommodations prior to the pandemic, including the ability to telework.
Conclusion
The shift to remote work that started during COVID and has persisted may have improved job prospects for older people with disabilities by reducing barriers to employment. Consistent with this view, this brief finds that nearly all of the post-pandemic employment gain for older people with disabilities has been in teleworkable occupations, and this pattern holds even after controlling for other factors. Remote work benefits older workers with disabilities by allowing some to reenter the labor force and others to switch jobs instead of exiting work.
Yet, the extent to which these dynamics will persist over the long run remains an open question. This analysis covers a period when remote work was particularly widespread. The availability of remote work may decline as the labor market eases back toward more normal conditions. And, the extent to which older workers with disabilities need or want to work might also decline as the impact of unusual pandemic-era conditions – including the temporary closure of Social Security field offices – subsides. Hence, how remote work impacts older people with disabilities should remain a topic of interest.
References
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