BTC Hits Short-Term Holders’ Cost Basis — Will Support Hold?

However, instead of pausing or accumulating, these holders appear to be distributing.

What’s Happening?

As noted by Alphractal, the selling pressure is being driven by short-term holders returning to profitability. When BTC crosses above their average entry price, many of these market participants opt to lock in gains, triggering distribution instead of further accumulation.

“For now, this zone acts as strong support,” Alphractal states, “and Short-Term Holders will likely try to defend it at all costs.”

Why $93,400 Matters

The STH Realized Price represents the average purchase price of Bitcoin held by wallets that have transacted within the past 155 days. If BTC stays above this level, it could signal continued upward momentum. If it breaks below, another wave of selling could be triggered, weakening support and leading to downside volatility.

Chart Breakdown

Left Chart: Accumulation vs. Distribution
This heatmap-style chart shows net accumulation (green) and distribution (red) zones. We can observe intensified selling activity among short-term holders in recent weeks, even as BTC climbs — a bearish divergence if not reversed. Top Right: STH vs. LTH Realized Price (Macro View)
The longer-term chart shows how BTC tends to react when approaching or surpassing the realized price of short-term and long-term holders. The STH line (blue) sits right below the current price, emphasizing the proximity of this key support. Bottom Right: Zoomed-In STH Realized Price View
In a tighter timeframe, BTC is currently testing the $93.4K STH line. Reclaiming and sustaining above it would be a sign of strength. A breakdown, however, may trigger renewed selling.

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