Bloomberg Intelligence Reveals 2025 Crypto ETF Approval Odds 

The analysis includes expected approval chances for various digital assets based on regulatory filings, SEC deadlines, and current commodity classifications.

Solana, Litecoin, and Index Funds Lead the Pack

At the top of the list are Solana, Litecoin, and crypto index baskets, each carrying a 90% chance of SEC approval this year. These assets have strong institutional backing, with firms like Grayscale, Bitwise, and Franklin filing applications.

XRP follows closely behind with an 85% probability of approval, though it faces additional regulatory scrutiny and pending developments—most notably a key update expected from the CFTC by April 21.

DOGE, HBAR, and Avalanche Trail Slightly Behind

Dogecoin and HBAR show 80% approval odds, while Cardano, Polkadot, and Avalanche each carry a 75% chance. While these projects have growing ecosystems and market caps, they may face slightly more SEC hesitation.

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All assets listed are considered “likely” commodities by the SEC and are paired with CFTC-regulated futures—critical criteria for spot ETF viability.

Bloomberg’s assessment is based on subjective analysis of regulatory momentum, market maturity, and institutional involvement. With deadlines stretching into late 2025, the next few months could prove pivotal in shaping U.S. crypto investment access.

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