338Canada Federal Projection: Latest update: March 16, 2025

Popular vote projection Conservatives 38% ± 4%▼ Liberals 35% ± 4%▲ NDP 13% ± 3%▼ Bloc 7% ± 1% Greens 4% ± 2% PPC 3% ± 2% 338Canada vote projection | March 16, 2025 This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Seat projection | 172 seats for a majority Liberals 150▲ [122-181] Conservatives 149▼ [119-181] Bloc 27▼ [22-34] NDP 15▲ [6-18] Greens 2 [0-3] 338Canada seat projection | March 16,...